When I started writing this article, I promise I didn’t intend to make a list filled only with players from the class of 2022. However, when I think about it I still hold a candle to Jameson Williams and Jahan Dotson, I have a soft opinion about the 2022 class as a whole.
Honestly, it’s a coincidence that four third-year players have significant increases in 2024 ADPs and should have career years to justify them…
In recent years, we’ve been blessed with rookies who have made an immediate impact – Puka Nacua, Justin Jefferson and Ja’Marr Chase, to name a few. We are spoiled! But before these exciting rookie events, we were going to look at the highlights of Year 3.
Don’t be confused by the rookie’s recent success; the explosion of Year 3 is still very much there. Nico Collins proved that in 2023.
This year, we have several players who have seen a rise in their ADPs due to their great explosive ability. Let’s discuss what we need to see from these players to pay off at their current level.
To be clear, this list is not meant to discourage you from writing any of these characters. It is to help you understand the type of production required and the level of risk associated with writing them in their potential location.
No player exemplifies that in my eyes more than Drake London.
It’s fantasy football managerthere is absolutely nothing anyone can say to talk to me from designing London. As a dream the inspectorthe truth is that we are asking for the best situation for London; what we’re really asking for is for Kirk Cousins ​​to improve on Justin Jefferson-Lite in Atlanta.
In the first two years of his career, London failed to reach 1,000 receiving yards and had a total of six receiving touchdowns. The lack of production has been felt with Marcus Mariota, Desmond Ridder and Taylor Heinicke at quarterback. Despite these struggles, London has shown high-level potential and Cousins ​​is a huge upgrade at quarterback. The question is, can Cousins ​​produce real big-game hogs in London and make those 10-reception, 172-yard drives happen consistently?
Again, we ask for more. London’s ADP has risen ahead of Round 3 and may continue to rise. We’re still writing about his ceiling, but the ceiling has the potential of the Sistine Chapel.
Like London, Wilson’s inability to rise to the top in his young life is not his fault. It’s not uncommon for wide receivers to deal with egos throughout their careers and to say Wilson dealt with egos is an understatement. But, Aaron Rodgers is healthy and expectations are high after a 168-goal year in 2023.
Combine the overall boost in ADP for receivers, along with the expected return of Rodgers, and Wilson is being drafted directly behind AJ Brown — a receiver who has finished in the top 10 for two straight years. Wilson has a recent ADP of 1 and will need a career year to pay off. He needs to see an increase in receptions, yards and touchdowns to justify such an aggressive ADP.
Wilson is the undisputed hog of the Jets offense and has topped 1,000 yards in each of his first two seasons despite playing poorly. But, his ADP is a ceiling game, relying heavily on Rodgers to maximize his red zone opportunities. Wilson will also need to maintain his goaltending role with the addition of Mike Williams, who was recently recalled from the PUP.
While Olave hasn’t faced the same challenges as the aforementioned receivers, changing goals has been a struggle so far in his career. Combine inconsistent scoring with a lack of touchdowns and the result is a receiver who can’t reach a top-12 offer. It’s a problem when you’re drafted as a WR1. Olave reports in the same manner as a player like Terry McLaurin in terms and production – both are clear WR1s with a covered ceiling due to the inconsistency of the quarterbacks and the lack of touchdowns.
For reference, McLaurin’s best finish was WR14 in 2022.
While London and Wilson have their potential ceilings underwritten by quarterback-related upgrades, Olave has a boosted ADP but is still tied to a quarterback who has struggled with red zone production. .
Olave also has to contend with the rise of Rashid Shaheed. While new offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak could increase production for the Saints overall, a lot works against Olave to achieve career numbers and justify his ADP.
The 2022 receivers aren’t the only ones looking to make a big jump in 2024. White is stepping up as the Raiders RB1 and Josh Jacobs in Green Bay.
Is it fair to say you have to have a year of work if you haven’t started yet? Maybe not. But, in White’s case, I’ll give it a go because he’s in his third year of work and his ADP is rising as people realize he’s locked in when batters are running back.
Unlike receivers, White’s ADP isn’t very aggressive. But, there is something unknown about White. We have a small example to look at with White from 2023. Jacobs was injured and missed the final four games of the season. In those final games, White stepped in as the leading back and was RB13 in half of PPR points per game with two games with over 100 rushing yards .White also had the most attempts and three-pointers going back that time.
But, we have to be careful with small sample sizes. White’s backup – Alexander Mattison – is a poster child for a small sample size that doesn’t translate to full-time work. White could also hand the third-down role to rookie Dylan Laube, and scoring opportunities could be slim if the Raiders’ offense struggles overall.
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